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Old 04-28-2007, 07:25 PM
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OGRE OGRE is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Deepwaters View Post
LOL Ogre, you have to remember how young most of these people are. This may be the wrong place for deep philosophical discussions.

I answered you, though. I don't think she's a "black swan" phenomenon. I think she's genuinely extraordinary, and not merely a statistical aberration misunderstood as extraordinary by the limitations of the human brain.
I guess you are correct, but it was fun while it lasted. Taleb would be proud of your analysis, as it reflects an understanding of the impact of epistemic opacity on determining if an event meets the criteria for a Black Swan.

Last edited by OGRE; 04-28-2007 at 07:25 PM.. Reason: typo
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