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Mathematical Formula on the future of Alizée's marriage
I ran across this story on famous people and their chances of a doomed marriage and thought it would be a fun discussion. Being that we have been debating on whether Alizée and Jeremy are together, may be together, or are splitsville as we speak, here was a story that popped up today and I thought I would pass it on since the whole Alizée and Matt discussion is pretty much over.
Here is the formula that predicts how long a marriage may last between two famous celebrities who decide to get married. The story from the New York Times is linked below it. Get your Calculators out and start punching numbers. Science/a-refined-formula-to-predict-doom-in-celebrity-marriages
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Edit: Oh wow this does not look good for them. Assuming all my arithmetic is correct I get 1.53% chance they are still together. What really limits their chances in this algorithm is the variable D which is number of months they have known each other before marriage. If D was higher the percentage would go up exponentially. 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line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} </style> <![endif]--> P = 0 Ab = 27.42 years approx. Ag = 27.58 years approx. Gb = .217 million Gg = 15.6 million S = 1 6 November 2003 marriage date 25th March 2003 meeting date D = 7.29 months (assuming all months have 31 days) 6 November 2003 marriage date 14 March 2012 today’s date T = 8.36 years 2{(30-1)/5}*[(10*27.42+10*27.58)/{(27.42-27.58)^2 + 100}]*[{75(10+.217)}/{(.217+15.6)*(10+15.6)}]^.5 * {7.29/(7.29+2)}^(2*8.36) 58/5 * 5.50 * 1.38 * .0174 = 1.53% for 8.36 years
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LETS GO YANKEES! CONGRATS ON #4 GIANTS! Last edited by Future Raptor Ace; 03-14-2012 at 01:11 PM.. Reason: Automerged Doubleposts |
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Of COURSE its doomed to fail, Alizee and I are meant to be together! Jeremy is just a practice run lol
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Lol, might I remind you she is still with me!
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LETS GO YANKEES! CONGRATS ON #4 GIANTS! |
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Touche, good sir!
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like everything in mathematics, is necessary to demonstrate and test the formula.
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You better hurry up then. I give her 2 years tops in singlehood.
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--- pace e salute --- |
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I'm with you on that one.
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Two minutes is all I need to woo her
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I wanted to check my math because the 1.53% seemed really low. I ran the formula in matlab and I got the same results so assuming my variables are correct according to that formula the 1.53% I calculated is correct to + or - .01 accuracy.
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LETS GO YANKEES! CONGRATS ON #4 GIANTS! |
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