#11
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Yes, like brad said its been 7 years... wow!! thats pretty long, and i agree that 40% isn't bad at all
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Je t'aime Alizée |
#12
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Interpretation of the Statistic - Confidence Interval
For those of you who don't want to read the following statistical jargon, here's the jist: Somewhere between 30% and 50% of French teenagers still consider Alizée trendy.
"Alizée was mentioned yesterday on the TF1 show, "Attention à la marche!". The question was: "Out of 100 teens, how many think that Alizée is still trendy?" Answer: 40%."" The first thing to confirm is if the show actually performed a survey. If they actually did question 100 french teenagers, then we can continue with the analysis. If the number is just an estimate... well, then it's just the show's estimate. The population that the statistic is measuring is all teenagers in France. To confidently analyze the data, the survey must have been an SRS or Simple Random Sample and the population size must have been at least 10 times the sample size. The number of French teenagers is certainly greater than 100(10) or 1000. But an SRS is less certain. To get a Simple Random Sample, the survey would have had to randomly survey 100 teenagers out the entire population of French teenagers. This is essentially impossible to do without getting all teenagers' social security numbers, randomly choosing 100, and then forcing those 100 to answer the question. So, without a certain SRS, we can use a confidence interval, but we cannot be certain of its accuracy. Calculation of a confidence interval: (p-hat)±z*(((p-hat)(1-(p-hat))/n)^(1/2) Where (p-hat) is the statistic of 0.4, n is 100, and z* is determined by the desired confidence interval: InvNorm((1-.95)/2) Crunching the numbers, we find there is a 95% confidence interval of (0.30398, 0.49602). This means that we are 95% confident that the true percentage of French teenagers who still consider Alizée trendy is somewhere between 30.398% and 49.602%. A 90% confidence interval would yeild (0.31942, 0.48058), and a 99% confidence interval would yeild (0.27381, 0.52619).
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__Ella, elle l'a ----- Ella, she has it..
._Ce je n'sais quoi, Que d'autres n'ont pas ----- That something, That others don't have __ .Qui nous met dans un drôle d'état ----- That puts us in a happy state.____._ Elle a cette drôle de voix, Elle a cette drôle de joie ----- She has this curious voice, She has this curious joy ____..___ Ce don du ciel qui la rend belle ----- This gift from the sky that makes her pretty. Last edited by theit77; 06-03-2007 at 01:41 PM.. |
#13
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I think the text was supposed to say 40 out of 100 aka 40%.
I don't really think it's sample size that 100. |
#14
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makes sense
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__Ella, elle l'a ----- Ella, she has it..
._Ce je n'sais quoi, Que d'autres n'ont pas ----- That something, That others don't have __ .Qui nous met dans un drôle d'état ----- That puts us in a happy state.____._ Elle a cette drôle de voix, Elle a cette drôle de joie ----- She has this curious voice, She has this curious joy ____..___ Ce don du ciel qui la rend belle ----- This gift from the sky that makes her pretty. |
#15
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Quote:
She has been away long enought that she will have to seduce the audiance all over again. However, 40% is a very big door of opportunity in my thinking, and we all know her potential for being a good seductress. |
#16
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40% is definitely solid given how long Lili has been out of the mainstream.
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#17
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Quote:
As to answering my own question, I think the significance of the figure depends a lot on the sample and the sampling methods used. If they had any semblance of decent random sampling, then I think 40% after such a break is pretty darn good. If not, then it doesn't really tell us anything useful. As has been already mentioned, the significance of the result also depends on what is meant by "trendy" and how the respondants interpretted the term/question. PS-Thanks to whoever stickied the thread. The actual news thread is rightfully locked so that it doesn't become a place where anyone's rumors are thrown around and the same questions get asked over and over. I would just ask for everyone to not allow this thread to turn into that sort of thing either
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C'est ta faute... mais on t'aime quand même, Alizée!
Tu m'as pris dès le premier "moi." |
#18
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Quote:
Moi-Lolita presented all of these. Here was this image the girls identified with, combined with great lyrics, catchy music, and Alizee's talent with song and movement combined with the amazing essence of who she is. Alizee needs to again capture the hearts of her audiance with some type of compellng story. If she can, she'll fly back. If not, it may be a struggle. Last edited by Rev; 06-03-2007 at 06:50 PM.. |
#19
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One contrast that should be taken into account is that Madonna was quite the scandal-maker, from the start, and got ahead by pushing the envelope, starting with the rebellious girl in Borderline, then the Like a Virgin video, the Marilyn thing for Material Girl, teen pregnancy in Papa Don't Preach, then it was the black Jesus figure in Like a Prayer that got her Pepsi ad campaign cancelled, the Gaultier costumes on that tour, the Justify My Love video (banned from MTV, presumably on purpose), Erotica, the Sex book, etc.etc. (and that was just in the first decade).
Alizée's image, if one considers the avatars here, is mostly angel wings and butterflies. I wonder how drastic a break with that image might have to be in terms of reinvention. I personally hope it's not like Christina Aguilera's Stripped/Dirrty makeover. Last edited by fsquared; 06-03-2007 at 07:19 PM.. |
#20
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I'm sure Alizee's sales will be very wide spread as far as age is concerned. There's a wide span of ages just on this website alone that listen to her...
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Alizee: Wowww! |
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